Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction, tips & stats

Arsenal will host Bayer Leverkusen on Tuesday in a Round of 16 second-leg clash of the UCL, which is finely poised after a 1-1 draw in the first meeting.

The Gunners will be hoping for a win that will allow them to keep their quest of winning everything this season alive, while Leverkusen will be looking to spoil their party.

Read our Arsenal vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction and preview, including value betting tips.

Tip 1: Half-time draw

While Arsenal are undeniably huge favourites to get the win here, it could be a tricky game against an opponent that proved in the first leg that they can hang with them.

That game was tied at half time, as were the last three Leverkusen's matches in the Champions League. Meanwhile, Arsenal drew at half time in three of their last five games in all competitions.

Tip 2: Arsenal to win & Both teams to score (Yes)

Arsenal have been prolific at home in the Champions League, averaging 3.0 goals for per home game, while still conceding 0.8 goals against per game. Leverkusen’s away profile is balanced: 1.4 goals for per away game and 0.8 conceded per away game, suggesting they can contribute even in a difficult venue.

The first leg already landed BTTS (1-1), and Arsenal have looked a bit vulnerable lately, conceding goals against opponents like Mansfield and Premier League relegation candidates Tottenham and Wolves, so Leverkusen certainly have a chance.

Tip 3: Martin Zubimendi to be booked

This is a strong data-led card angle: Martin Zubimendi has 4 yellow cards and 15 fouls committed in the competition this season, the highest card count among Arsenal’s key players.

In a tight knockout second leg after a 1-1 first meeting, midfield duels and tactical fouls tend to increase, so Zubimendi’s existing card record makes him a clear candidate for another booking.