Borussia Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli prediction, tips & stats

Borussia Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli prediction, tips & stats

2026-03-13

Borussia Monchengladbach will host St. Pauli on Friday in a Bundesliga clash that could have a huge impact at the bottom of the table.

With the two teams only separated by one point and trying to stay out of the relegation zone, this will be a very exciting duel, but who will emerge victorious?

Read our Borussia Monchengladbach vs St. Pauli prediction and preview to find out.

Tip 1: Both teams to score (BTTS) – yes

Gladbach’s home games are trending towards goals at both ends: they average 1.2 goals scored per home match while conceding 1.8 per home match, a combined 3.0 goals per game.

St. Pauli’s away profile supports that game-state too, with 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded per away match (combined 2.5 total goals per game).

With both defences allowing 1.7+ goals per game in their respective splits, BTTS is a higher-odds angle than simply backing overs.

Tip 2: Under 0.5 first half goals

Both teams start slowly based on their split data. Gladbach’s matches average just 0.4 first-half goals, while St. Pauli’s average 0.333 first-half goals.

Those are extremely low first-half scoring rates, making 0-0 at half-time a value-leaning alternative to a full-time under, especially given both sides’ higher full-match concession rates.

That being said, if you want to stay on the safer side, betting on a draw at half time could be the way to go.

Tip 3: Double chance: St. Pauli or draw (X2)

The recent H2H summary leans slightly towards St. Pauli, with four wins in their last eight meetings with Borussia. That includes St. Pauli winning 1-2 away in the most recent meeting in Monchengladbach in the DFB Pokal.

Given Gladbach’s inconsistent home results (3 wins in 12 home games) and St. Pauli’s ability to get results in this matchup, taking St. Pauli to avoid defeat offers a good value.

Recent H2Hs - Slight advantage for St. Pauli

Across the last eight head-to-head meetings, the matchup has been slightly in St. Pauli’s favour overall: Borussia Mönchengladbach 3 wins, 1 draw, FC St. Pauli 4 wins.

The most recent two meetings this season have been decisive and swung both ways: Gladbach won 0-4 away in Bundesliga, but St. Pauli responded by winning 1-2 away in DFB Pokal.

There has also been at least one tight game in the recent set, with a 1-1 draw (2025-04-06), showing that when neither side dominates and that stalemates are possible, although draws are less common than wins in this series.

Overall, the H2H sample suggests volatility rather than a stable home/away edge, which is why value angles like double chance and higher goal lines can make more sense than a simple match-winner bet.

Head to Head|1DrawBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach2WinsFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli2WinsRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
02 Dec 2025DFB Pokal
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia MönchengladbachFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
12
01 Nov 2025Bundesliga
FC St. PauliFC St. PauliBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
04
06 Apr 2025Bundesliga
FC St. PauliFC St. PauliBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
11
24 Nov 2024Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia MönchengladbachFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
20
14 Jan 2023Friendlies Clubs
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia MönchengladbachFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01

Recent form - Spurs are in free fall

Gladbach’s home form this season shows a long run of inconsistent results, with frequent losses and draws and only three wins in 12 home games so far in Bundesliga.

St. Pauli haven't been great away from home, with just two wins for the entire season, but their last away game has ended in a win over Hoffenheim, a somewhat shocking result since Hoffenheim are third in the league standings.

Overall, St. Pauli have been in good form lately, winning three of their last five matches and losing just once against Bayer Leverkusen.

Last Five|Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach1Win1Draw3LossesRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
06 Mar 2026Bundesliga
Bayern MünchenBayern MünchenBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
41
28 Feb 2026Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia MönchengladbachUnion BerlinUnion Berlin
10
22 Feb 2026Bundesliga
SC FreiburgSC FreiburgBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
21
14 Feb 2026Bundesliga
Eintracht FrankfurtEintracht FrankfurtBorussia MönchengladbachBorussia Mönchengladbach
30
07 Feb 2026Bundesliga
Borussia MönchengladbachBorussia MönchengladbachBayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen
11
Last Five|FC St. PauliFC St. Pauli3Wins1Draw1LossRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
08 Mar 2026Bundesliga
FC St. PauliFC St. PauliEintracht FrankfurtEintracht Frankfurt
00
28 Feb 2026Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim1899 HoffenheimFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
01
22 Feb 2026Bundesliga
FC St. PauliFC St. PauliWerder BremenWerder Bremen
21
14 Feb 2026Bundesliga
Bayer LeverkusenBayer LeverkusenFC St. PauliFC St. Pauli
40
07 Feb 2026Bundesliga
FC St. PauliFC St. PauliVfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
21

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