Brighton vs Liverpool prediction, tips & stats

Brighton will host Liverpool on Saturday in a Premier League meeting that could see the guests get further involved in the race for a Top 4 spot with a win.

Will the Reds get the three points they need or will Brighton spoil their plans?

Read on for our Brighton vs Liverpool betting tips, backed only by the numbers and stats.

Tip 1: Both teams to score - yes

Brighton’s home matches are set up for goals at both ends since they average 1.5 goals scored per home game and 1.1 conceded per home game across 15 league home fixtures.

Liverpool’s away profile also supports a two-way game, with 1.5 goals scored per away game and 1.5 conceded per away game across 15 away fixtures.

Tip 2: Liverpool to win & Under 4.5 total goals

Liverpool have won 5 of the last 10 H2Hs, including two straight clean-sheet wins in the most recent meetings: 3-0 and 2-0.

At the same time, 6/10 of the listed H2Hs landed Under 4.5 goals (only the 3-2, 2-3, 2-2, 3-3 went over). Pairing Liverpool’s H2H edge with a sensible goal cap creates more value than a straight away win.

Tip 3: Dominik Szoboszlai to be booked

For a player-based angle, Dominik Szoboszlai stands out on discipline since he has 6 yellow cards and 1 red card this league season, with 26 fouls committed.

In a matchup where both sides’ totals show plenty of duels (Brighton 346 fouls committed; Liverpool 294 fouls committed), backing a high-discipline-risk player for a card sounds like a smart bet.