Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction, tips & stats
2026-03-14
Burnley will host Bournemouth on Saturday in a exciting Premier League clash.
The hosts have already been written off this season, but a win in this match could give them hope that they can survive after all, while Bournemouth are looking to get involved in the race for European competitions.
Read our Burnley vs Bournemouth prediction and preview to find out where the best value angles may be.
Tip 1: Over 2.5 total goals
Bournemouth away games are often very entertaining since they average 1.6 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded, which is 3.8 total goals per away match. That’s a strong statistical base for going over 2.5 total goals in this game.
Burnley at home average 2.7 total goals (1.1 for + 1.6 against). Put together, both teams’ split averages lean toward a game that can reach 3+ goals, with Bournemouth’s away defensive number (2.2 conceded/game) being the standout driver.
Tip 2: Half-time draw
Burnley’s matches tend to start slowly in terms of scoring since their half-time average for total goals is just 0.483, which is consistent with low first-half separation and therefore a higher chance of a level score at the interval.
On top of this, two of the last three meetings between these teams have been tied at half times.
Tip 3: H. Hannibal Mejbri (Burnley) to be booked
Mejbri has 6 yellow cards this season and has committed 15 fouls, making him one of Burnley’s clearer card candidates from the squad and given the high-tempo and importance of the match for the hosts, there should be plenty of fouls and cards to go around.
