Cremonese vs Fiorentina prediction, tips & stats

Cremonese vs Fiorentina prediction, tips & stats

2026-03-16

Cremonese will host Fiorentina on Monday in a Serie A fixture that could have a big impact on the relegation battle.

The two teams enter this game struggling to keep their heads above water and whoever wins this game will get a huge boost in the scrap for survival in Serie A.

Read our Cremonese vs Fiorentina prediction and preview to find out where the best value could be.

Tip 1: Half-time draw

Cremonese’s matches have been slow starters at home, with a half-time average of 0.2 goals. Fiorentina’s away games are similar, with a half-time average of 0.25 goals.

With both teams producing very low first-half scoring environments, the HT draw is a value angle compared to full-time markets, especially since we've seen this happen in the last two meetings between Cremonese and Viola.

Tip 2: Fiorentina to win

Cremonese’s home scoring rate is low (0.8 goals per home game), while Fiorentina have already kept Cremonese scoreless in multiple recent H2Hs: 0-1, 0-2, 0-2 in three of the last five listed meetings.

Given that Fiorentina also have a big advantage in the H2H series in recent years, with five wins in their last six meetings, the guests should be able to secure three crucial points against a direct rival in the relegation battle.

Tip 3: Marin Pongracic to be booked

For Fiorentina, M. Pongracic has 9 yellow cards this season and 54 fouls committed, which strongly supports card involvement.

Recent H2Hs - No wins for Cremonese

Fiorentina have dominated this matchup in the recent sample (since 2013), with the H2H summary showing Cremonese wins: 0, draws: 1, Fiorentina wins: 5.

The most recent meeting ended Fiorentina 1-0 Cremonese (2026-01-04), continuing a pattern of Fiorentina edging tight games rather than relying on shootouts.

In fact, 3 of the last 5 listed H2Hs were Fiorentina wins to nil (1-0, 2-0, 2-0), while the only draw was a 0-0 (2023-04-27), underlining how often Cremonese have struggled to score in this pairing.

Head to Head|1DrawCremoneseCremonese0WinsFiorentinaFiorentina4WinsRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
04 Jan 2026Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaCremoneseCremonese
10
27 Apr 2023Coppa Italia
FiorentinaFiorentinaCremoneseCremonese
00
05 Apr 2023Coppa Italia
CremoneseCremoneseFiorentinaFiorentina
02
12 Mar 2023Serie A
CremoneseCremoneseFiorentinaFiorentina
02
14 Aug 2022Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaCremoneseCremonese
32

Recent form - Both teams desperate for points

Cremonese’s last win in Serie A came back in early December, so it's no wonder that they are currently in the relegation zone. In fact, given their form in the past few months, it's a wonder that they are just one point behind their next opponent Fiorentina, who are sitting just outside of the relegation zone.

This should give you some insight into Fiorentina's recent form as well and while Viola continue to chase European glory in the Conference League, their Serie A season has been a disaster. That being said, Fiorentina have only lost once in their last five league matches, so they have good reasons to hope for a good outcome on Monday.

Last Five|CremoneseCremonese0Wins1Draw4LossesRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
08 Mar 2026Serie A
LecceLecceCremoneseCremonese
21
01 Mar 2026Serie A
CremoneseCremoneseAC MilanAC Milan
02
22 Feb 2026Serie A
AS RomaAS RomaCremoneseCremonese
30
15 Feb 2026Serie A
CremoneseCremoneseGenoaGenoa
00
09 Feb 2026Serie A
AtalantaAtalantaCremoneseCremonese
21
Last Five|FiorentinaFiorentina2Wins1Draw2LossesRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
12 Mar 2026UEFA Europa Conference League
FiorentinaFiorentinaRaków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
21
08 Mar 2026Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaParmaParma
00
02 Mar 2026Serie A
UdineseUdineseFiorentinaFiorentina
30
26 Feb 2026UEFA Europa Conference League
FiorentinaFiorentinaJagielloniaJagiellonia
24
23 Feb 2026Serie A
FiorentinaFiorentinaPisaPisa
10

Related Predictions