Everton vs Burnley betting tips, predictions & stats
2026-03-02
Everton will host Burnley in Round 29 of the Premier League and they'll be hoping to secure a win against the relegation candidate on Tuesday evening.
With that in mind, we have prepared a preview of this match, along with our favourite Everton vs Burnley predictions and betting tips.
Tip 1: Everton to win
Burnley’s away defensive numbers (2.4 goals conceded per away game) make an Everton home win look undervalued. That being said, Everton's recent form hasn't been great, but they did secure a big win against Newcastle away in the last round.
Meanwhile, Burnley are pretty much already relegated, although some hope remains. However, just one win in the league since November clearly indicates that the Clarets are on their way back to the Championship.
Tip 2: Over 2.5 total goals
Burnley’s away games are set up for higher totals due to their 2.4 goals conceded per game in away games. Furthermore, Everton concede 1.4 goals per game in home matches this season, so Burnley will have their chances to score as well.
On top of that, both teams have gone over 2.5 total goals in three of their last four matches, so we wouldn't be surprised to see this game end with three or more goals.
Tip 3: James Garner (Everton) to be shown a card
Garner’s card count is high relative to his other outputs, indicating a problematic disciplinary profile. With 7 yellow cards and 27 fouls committed this season, that’s a strong card-risk profile on its own.
At team level, Everton have 54 yellow cards (3 reds) versus Burnley’s 48 yellow cards (1 red), so this fixture involves two sides that accumulate cards, supporting a card-based player angle.
