Liverpool vs Galatasaray prediction, tips & stats

Liverpool will host Galatasaray on Wednesday in a Round of 16 clash that already has a clear storyline after the visitors edged the last two head-to-head meetings 1-0 in the Champions League.

Will the Reds be able to turn the tie around at home despite their shaky recent form or will Galatasaray cause another upset after already eliminating Juventus in the last round?

Read on for our Liverpool vs Galatasaray prediction and preview to discover our thoughts.

Tip 1: Liverpool to win & Over 2.5 total goals

Liverpool’s home numbers are built for a higher-scoring win since they average 2.8 goals for per home game and 1.5 goals against per home game, a combined 4.3 total goals per match at home in the UCL this season.

Galatasaray’s away profile also points to goals as they allow 2.2 goals against per away game (while scoring 1.2), which is 3.4 total goals per away match. That combination supports a Liverpool win in a game that clears 2.5 total goals.

Tip 2: Both teams to score - yes

The goal environment is strong on both sides when you combine attack vs defence splits: Liverpool at home generate 2.8 scored and concede 1.5, while Galatasaray away score 1.2 and concede 2.2. Those are stats that naturally overlap into BTTS.

This is also a way to fade the recent H2H scorelines (two straight 1-0s) without ignoring the current-season per-game averages that point to a more open match.

Tip 3: Mario Lemina to be booked

Galatasaray’s overall discipline profile is busy since they have 127 fouls committed, and among their discipline risks, Lemina has 3 yellow cards already this season.