Marseille vs Auxerre prediction, tips & stats

Marseille will host Auxerre on Friday in a Ligue 1 clash as they hope to secure three important points in the race for a spot in the Champions League for next season.

On the other hand, Auxerre are fighting for their life in top flight of French football and will hope to avoid a loss in what will certainly be a tough away game for them.

Read our Marseille vs Auxerre prediction and preview to find out where the best value angles are.

Tip 1: Marseille to win & over 2.5 total goals

Marseille’s home numbers point to high-scoring wins since they average 2.7 goals for per home match and 1.3 goals against across 12 home league games (an average of nearly 4.0 total goals per match at home).

Auxerre’s away profile supports a Marseille-led game state: they score just 0.8 goals per away match while conceding 1.7 across 12 away games (an average of 2.5 total goals).

If Marseille hit their usual home attacking level, this combo covers a 2-1/3-0/3-1 type of outcome.

Tip 2: Marseille -1.5 (Asian Handicap)

Marseille’s split is strong at home: 2.7 scored per home game versus Auxerre’s 1.7 conceded per away game. That differential is the kind that often turns “home win” into a multi-goal margin.

The H2H also contains Marseille wins by 2+ goals (e.g. 0-2 in 2022 and 0-2 in 2021; plus 3-0 in 2012). It’s not the safest angle, but it’s typically priced far better than the obvious 1X2 home win.

Tip 3: Mason Greenwood to score 2+ goals

Greenwood is Marseille’s clear top scorer with 15 league goals (next best is Aubameyang on 8). With Marseille averaging 2.7 goals per home game, there’s enough home volume for a multi-goal scorer angle rather than the shorter “anytime” line.

Auxerre also arrive with their top scorer Sinayoko (6 goals) unavailable (suspended for yellow cards), which can tilt the game further toward a Marseille-dominant script, which is exactly the type of match where a top finisher has a better chance of landing a brace.