Sunderland vs Brighton prediction, tips & stats

Sunderland vs Brighton prediction, tips & stats

2026-03-14

Sunderland will host Brighton on Saturday in a Premier League meeting as both teams look to close the season in good form.

With only three points separating Sunderland and Brighton in this standings, this can be a very interesting and close matchup.

Read our Sunderland vs Brighton prediction and preview below for the best betting angles.

Tip 1: Half-time draw

Sunderland’s games have started slowly this season, with a half-time average of 0.345 goals. Brighton’s first halves have also been relatively low-event, with a half-time average of 0.483 goals.

On top of that, Sunderland drew at half time in three of their last five games and Brighton have done the same in their last two league matches.

Tip 2: Sunderland — Clean Sheet (Yes)

Sunderland’s defensive numbers at home are strong: they concede just 0.9 goals per home game across 14 home fixtures.

Brighton’s away attack is not explosive on the road either, scoring 1.1 goals per away game (over 14 away matches). With Sunderland generally tighter at home than away (0.9 conceded at home vs 1.4 away), the clean-sheet angle has a data-backed route.

Tip 3: Correct score: 0-0

The most recent head-to-head between Sunderland and Brighton has finished without any goals and their meeting before that also went 0-0 after 90 minutes before Brighton won on extra time.

Furthermore, both teams have failed to score in three of their previous five matches in all competitions, so we wouldn't be too surprised to see this game end without goals.

Tip 5: Lewis Dunk to be booked

Lewis Dunk is Brighton’s standout discipline risk in the provided data, with 9 yellow cards this season, which is second-most in the Premier League, just one yellow card behind the players ahead.

Recent H2Hs - Plenty of draws

Across the provided head-to-head sample, Sunderland and Brighton have been hard to separate in 90 minutes. Their last three meetings have ended in draws, although one of those was in the EFL Cup and Brighton managed to snatch the victory in extra time.

The clearest trend from what we have is a strong lean toward low-scoring, tight games, at least lately, with four of the last five H2Hs going under 2.5 total goals.

Head to Head|1DrawSunderlandSunderland0WinsBrightonBrighton1WinRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
20 Dec 2025Premier League
BrightonBrightonSunderlandSunderland
00
23 Aug 2011League Cup
BrightonBrightonSunderlandSunderland
00
10

Recent form - Nothing to write home about

Sunderland’s season has been one of fluctuating momentum rather than a stable run of results, especially looking at their performances at home, where they are sixth in the league, and away, where they are 15th. Sunderland come into this game on the back of a shocking loss to Port Vale in the FA Cup.

Meanwhile, Brighton have struggled for a while in the league, but they've now managd to win two of their last three games before losing to league leaders Arsenal in the last round. In any case, Brighton are bound for a mid-table finish this season, just like their next opponent.

Last Five|SunderlandSunderland2Wins1Draw2LossesRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
08 Mar 2026FA Cup
Port ValePort ValeSunderlandSunderland
10
03 Mar 2026Premier League
LeedsLeedsSunderlandSunderland
01
28 Feb 2026Premier League
BournemouthBournemouthSunderlandSunderland
11
22 Feb 2026Premier League
SunderlandSunderlandFulhamFulham
13
15 Feb 2026FA Cup
Oxford UnitedOxford UnitedSunderlandSunderland
01
Last Five|BrightonBrighton2Wins0Draws3LossesRead more ▼
DateLeagueTeams90'ETPEN
04 Mar 2026Premier League
BrightonBrightonArsenalArsenal
01
01 Mar 2026Premier League
BrightonBrightonNottingham ForestNottingham Forest
21
21 Feb 2026Premier League
BrentfordBrentfordBrightonBrighton
02
14 Feb 2026FA Cup
LiverpoolLiverpoolBrightonBrighton
30
11 Feb 2026Premier League
Aston VillaAston VillaBrightonBrighton
10

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