Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid prediction, tips & stats

Tottenham will host Atletico Madrid on Wednesday in the second leg of their Champions League tie that already feels over after the first-leg result.

While the Spurs have managed to score a couple of goals to improve the image, they are still three goals down, so can they perform a miracle to turn this tie around?

Read our Tottenham vs Atletico Madrid prediction and preview to find out.

Tip 1: Over 3.5 total goals & Both teams to score

The first leg finished 5-2 for Atletico, which is an immediate indicator that this matchup can explode offensively when it opens up. That game alone cleared both BTTS and 3.5 goals.

The underlying competition goal rates also support a higher line: Tottenham average 2.5 goals scored per home game and 0.0 conceded per home game (4 played), while Atletico average 1.8 scored and 2.6 conceded per away game (5 played).

Combining Spurs’ strong home scoring with Atletico’s high away goals average points toward a game state where 4+ goals is very plausible, especially with Tottenham forced to chase a three-goal deficit.

Tip 2: Tottenham over 1.5 team goals

Tottenham’s home scoring output in this competition is strong at 2.5 goals per home match across 4 games, which makes a 2+ goal target more realistic despite their poor form this season and the bad result from the first game.

After all, they did manage to score two goals in the first leg as well, despite having a catastrophic night otherwise.

Furthermore, Atletico’s away defensive record leaves plenty of room for Spurs to exploit since they concede 2.6 goals per away match in the competition.

Tip 3: Micky van de Ven to be booked

This is driven by the discipline data available: M. van de Ven has 3 yellow cards and 13 fouls committed in the Champions League this season, making him Tottenham’s top discipline risk for this game.