Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction, tips, & stats

Tottenham will host Crystal Palace on Thursday in a London derby that could have a huge impact on the relegation battle this season in the Premier League.

With both teams struggling to find their best form, especially the hosts who are on a downward spiral, who will secure points from this all-important game?

Read our Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction and preview to find that out.

Crystal Palace to win & under 3.5 goals

Tottenham’s home games average 2.8 total goals (1.2 scored + 1.6 conceded), while Crystal Palace’s away games average 2.2 total goals (1.1 scored + 1.1 conceded). That points more toward a 1–0/2–0/2–1 type away win than a high-scoring shootout.

The recent H2H also supports a Palace win without a goal-fest: Palace have won 2 of the last 3 H2H meetings, and those Palace wins were 0-2 and 1-0 (both under 2.5 total goals).

Tip 3: Tottenham Under 1.5 team goals

Tottenham are averaging 1.2 goals scored per home game across 14 home fixtures, which is well below the 1.5 line, and considering their recent form (four losses in a row), we wouldn't be surprised to see Spurs held to fewer than two goals.

After all, Palace’s away defensive numbers also back it up - they concede 1.1 goals per away game, a profile that often keeps opponents to 0-1 goals.

Tip 5: Joao Palhinha to be shown a card

Palhinha has 6 yellow cards in the league season and 20 fouls committed, putting him among Tottenham’s higher discipline-risk profiles.

This also aligns with the team-level foul environment: Tottenham have 323 fouls committed (vs Palace 295) in the season totals provided, which supports looking at card angles in this game.